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Đánh bạcuy tín:US bankers wary after IPO slump

Đánh bạcuy tín:US bankers wary after IPO slump

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Sluggish times: A trader works on the floor at the New York Stock Exchange. Rising inflation and interest rate hikes have hurt stock market valuations and are eroding investor appetite for high growth IPO candidates that have driven deals in recent years. — AP

NEW YORK: Initial public offerings (IPOs) are heading for their longest drought since the global financial crisis, and bankers are not expecting a revival anytime soon.

A mix of rising inflation and interest rate hikes aimed at taming it have hurt stock market valuations and eroded investor appetite for the high growth IPO candidates that have driven deals in recent years.

Just US$207bil (RM916bil) has been raised this year from listings, 68% down versus last year, as a surge in flotations in China and the Middle East failed to make up for a frozen United States market.

“Two things are needed for equity capital markets (ECM) activity to resume: stability around inflation and visibility on the trajectory for interest rate hikes,” said Edward Byun, co-head of Asia ex-Japan equity capital markets at Goldman Sachs Group Inc.

“We will begin to see the market move forward once there is conviction on inflation and clarity on the rate outlook, which is likely in the second quarter of next year.”

This year’s listing slump is the worst since IPO values tumbled 73% in 2008, according to Bloomberg data.

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It followed a 2021 boom, when peaking stock markets and a US blank-check listing craze led to an unprecedented US$655bil (RM2.9 trillion) IPO haul.

Since then, however, high growth tech companies without a path to profitability have lost favour while consumer firms are finding investor support lacking as inflation surges.

It doesn’t help that so many of last year’s IPO stars are under water.

The average 2021 US market debutante is down 19% since going public, including once hot electric vehicle startup Rivian Automotive Inc, which is down nearly 70%.

The US IPO market has been one of the biggest drags, hit by a collapse in the blank-check deals that were behind 2021’s surge. Listing volumes of US$24bil (RM106.1bil) are the lowest since 1990 and down 93% on 2021, with bankers saying that investors will favour stable company flotations next year.

The two markets that did well in 2022 –China and the Middle East – are likely to continue to do so, say bankers, even though the Asian nation is seeing a surge in infections as it drops its Covid curbs and falling oil prices are dragging down Gulf countries’ stock markets.

“Given the Chinese government is loosening regulations on the property sector and we are seeing a clear trend of loosening Covid constraints, we are expecting a market rebound,” said Mandy Zhu, head of China, global banking at UBS Group AG. “We are already seeing increased activities for both onshore and offshore markets.”

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